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I've always found it hard to answer questions like: How much bankroll do I actually need for the risk I'm comfortable taking? What's a realistic range of outcomes over the next year? How bad could the drawdowns get? What's the probability that I actually reach my bankroll goal? How much does my win rate / variance / volume change the picture? So I built Poker Bankroll Risk Engine to answer those questions with actual simulations rather than just a generic bankroll rule.
You enter your bankroll, weekly hours, target bankroll, and session history, and it calculates things like:
📈 Historical win rate & variance
🎲 Theoretical risk of ruin
💰 Required bankroll for your chosen risk level
📊 95% confidence intervals
🔮 10,000 simulated one-year bankroll paths
📉 Potential peak-to-trough drawdowns
🎯 Probability of reaching your target bankroll
I built it primarily for live NLHE players, but I'm interested in seeing how useful it is for other formats too.
Try it here:
https://pokerriskengine.onrender...
It's a $10 unlock for the full analysis. Let me know if there are any problems with the website functionality.
I'd especially love feedback from people who have enough session data to compare the simulation against their actual results.
What would you want a poker bankroll calculator to tell you that existing calculators don't?
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About PokerRiskEngine on Product Hunt
“Know whether you're winning at poker for $10!”
PokerRiskEngine was submitted on Product Hunt and earned 0 upvotes and 1 comments, placing #140 on the daily leaderboard. I've always found it hard to answer questions like: How much bankroll do I actually need for the risk I'm comfortable taking? What's a realistic range of outcomes over the next year? How bad could the drawdowns get? What's the probability that I actually reach my bankroll goal? How much does my win rate / variance / volume change the picture? So I built Poker Bankroll Risk Engine to answer those questions with actual simulations rather than just a generic bankroll rule.
PokerRiskEngine was featured in Analytics (173.9k followers), SaaS (44.5k followers) and Tech (633.6k followers) on Product Hunt. Together, these topics include over 244.2k products, making this a competitive space to launch in.
Who hunted PokerRiskEngine?
PokerRiskEngine was hunted by Shardul Rakshit. A “hunter” on Product Hunt is the community member who submits a product to the platform — uploading the images, the link, and tagging the makers behind it. Hunters typically write the first comment explaining why a product is worth attention, and their followers are notified the moment they post. Around 79% of featured launches on Product Hunt are self-hunted by their makers, but a well-known hunter still acts as a signal of quality to the rest of the community. See the full all-time top hunters leaderboard to discover who is shaping the Product Hunt ecosystem.
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Shardul Rakshit