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FlukeWatch
Polymarket whale tracker that ranks by calibration, not luck
FlukeWatch is a real-time Polymarket whale tracker that ranks traders by calibration — how often their confidence actually matches reality — instead of raw PnL. See every large trade as it hits, get Telegram alerts when tracked wallets move, and build watchlists across Politics, Crypto, Sports, Finance, Tech, and Culture markets. Spot the smart money to follow and the confident-but-wrong whales worth fading. Built for prediction-market traders who want signal, not a leaderboard of lucky gamblers
Hey Product Hunt!
Ever followed a Polymarket "whale" only to realize they were just a lucky gambler?
I built FlukeWatch because ranking traders purely by P&L is mostly noise. A guy who wins one massive coinflip shouldn't share a leaderboard with a calibrated forecaster. FlukeWatch changes the game by ranking whales by their calibration score (how often their confidence matches reality). The best part? It makes it incredibly easy to spot the confident-but-wrong whales you should be fading.
The setup:
Real-time tracking: Live feed of every $10k+ Polymarket trade.
Smarter profiles: Whale profiles built on calibration, alongside analytics for Politics, Crypto, Sports, and more.
Alerts & Signals: Custom watchlists with Telegram alerts, plus trade advice signals on the live feed.
You can hop in on the free Scout tier for the live feed and leaderboards, or upgrade to the Tracker tier for alerts and signals. Under the hood, it's powered by a Rust ingestion service hitting Polymarket's Data API and a Python scoring engine, all piped through WebSockets for real-time speed.
I'd love to hear your thoughts and feedback. Happy to answer any questions below!
— Sergey
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About FlukeWatch on Product Hunt
“Polymarket whale tracker that ranks by calibration, not luck”
FlukeWatch was submitted on Product Hunt and earned 0 upvotes and 1 comments, placing #127 on the daily leaderboard. FlukeWatch is a real-time Polymarket whale tracker that ranks traders by calibration — how often their confidence actually matches reality — instead of raw PnL. See every large trade as it hits, get Telegram alerts when tracked wallets move, and build watchlists across Politics, Crypto, Sports, Finance, Tech, and Culture markets. Spot the smart money to follow and the confident-but-wrong whales worth fading. Built for prediction-market traders who want signal, not a leaderboard of lucky gamblers
FlukeWatch was featured in Fintech (47k followers), Analytics (172k followers) and Crypto (39.6k followers) on Product Hunt. Together, these topics include over 35.3k products, making this a competitive space to launch in.
Who hunted FlukeWatch?
FlukeWatch was hunted by Sergey F. A “hunter” on Product Hunt is the community member who submits a product to the platform — uploading the images, the link, and tagging the makers behind it. Hunters typically write the first comment explaining why a product is worth attention, and their followers are notified the moment they post. Around 79% of featured launches on Product Hunt are self-hunted by their makers, but a well-known hunter still acts as a signal of quality to the rest of the community. See the full all-time top hunters leaderboard to discover who is shaping the Product Hunt ecosystem.
Want to see how FlukeWatch stacked up against nearby launches in real time? Check out the live launch dashboard for upvote speed charts, proximity comparisons, and more analytics.
Sergey F