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Release Oracle
AI model release date prediction
We apply statistical analysis to prediction market data to predict the date of an AI model release and the confidence interval. Users get notified before a release and the day off so they can stay up to date! I built this for myself because I'm curious when the next model will be released then had some friends start using it.
Top comment
I built this because I was always curious when the next Claude or ChatGPT model was being released. I used to go to Polymarket and Kalshi to see what traders/insiders thought but it was always shown in tranches: 12% by August 15, 40% by Sept. 1, 80% by Sept. 15, etc. Using basic stats, we can give an estimated date and confidence interval! Once I built it and showed a few friends, they started using it too. Then they wanted to be notified so they didn't have to keep checking the website so I added an email feature.
About Release Oracle on Product Hunt
“AI model release date prediction”
Release Oracle was submitted on Product Hunt and earned 2 upvotes and 1 comments, placing #157 on the daily leaderboard. We apply statistical analysis to prediction market data to predict the date of an AI model release and the confidence interval. Users get notified before a release and the day off so they can stay up to date! I built this for myself because I'm curious when the next model will be released then had some friends start using it.
On the analytics side, Release Oracle competes within Analytics, Developer Tools and Tech — topics that collectively have 1.3M followers on Product Hunt. The dashboard above tracks how Release Oracle performed against the three products that launched closest to it on the same day.
Who hunted Release Oracle?
Release Oracle was hunted by Andrew Keyes. A “hunter” on Product Hunt is the community member who submits a product to the platform — uploading the images, the link, and tagging the makers behind it. Hunters typically write the first comment explaining why a product is worth attention, and their followers are notified the moment they post. Around 79% of featured launches on Product Hunt are self-hunted by their makers, but a well-known hunter still acts as a signal of quality to the rest of the community. See the full all-time top hunters leaderboard to discover who is shaping the Product Hunt ecosystem.
For a complete overview of Release Oracle including community comment highlights and product details, visit the product overview.