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Predictly
Research-backed forecasts for the questions ahead
Ask about something that hasn't happened yet. Predictly works out which event you mean, researches it across several sources, collapses duplicate reporting so one wire story isn't counted ten times, and answers with a probability — plus a confidence level computed from the evidence, what argues each way, and the sources it read. It refuses three kinds of question rather than answer them badly: events already settled, ambiguous subjects, and questions with too little evidence to call.
Hi Product Hunt 👋
I built Predictly because answering "how likely is this, really?" takes half a day of reading that nobody has. You end up with a feeling instead of an estimate.
You ask a question about something that hasn't happened yet. Predictly works out which event you mean, researches it across several sources, collapses duplicate reporting so one wire story isn't counted ten times, and answers with a probability — plus a confidence level computed from how solid the evidence is, what argues each way, and links to everything it read.
Two things I care about:
— Confidence and probability are kept separate. How likely the event is, and how well documented the answer is, are different questions. "15%, well established" is a coherent and useful sentence.
— It refuses rather than guesses. Events already settled, subjects whose name means two things, and questions with too little evidence all get a plain refusal instead of a made-up number.
What I'm not claiming: Predictly publishes no accuracy figure, because I have no verified record to publish yet. Calibration — checking whether things given 70% happen about 70% of the time — needs many resolved forecasts, and I'd rather build that in the open than quote a number I can't show the working for.
What I'd love to learn from you: which questions you try, and where the answer felt thin. The refusals especially — if it declined something it should have answered, that's the most useful thing you can tell me.
About Predictly on Product Hunt
“Research-backed forecasts for the questions ahead”
Predictly was submitted on Product Hunt and earned 0 upvotes and 1 comments, placing #51 on the daily leaderboard. Ask about something that hasn't happened yet. Predictly works out which event you mean, researches it across several sources, collapses duplicate reporting so one wire story isn't counted ten times, and answers with a probability — plus a confidence level computed from the evidence, what argues each way, and the sources it read. It refuses three kinds of question rather than answer them badly: events already settled, ambiguous subjects, and questions with too little evidence to call.
On the analytics side, Predictly competes within Productivity, Artificial Intelligence and Data & Analytics — topics that collectively have 1.2M followers on Product Hunt. The dashboard above tracks how Predictly performed against the three products that launched closest to it on the same day.
Who hunted Predictly?
Predictly was hunted by zevo. A “hunter” on Product Hunt is the community member who submits a product to the platform — uploading the images, the link, and tagging the makers behind it. Hunters typically write the first comment explaining why a product is worth attention, and their followers are notified the moment they post. Around 79% of featured launches on Product Hunt are self-hunted by their makers, but a well-known hunter still acts as a signal of quality to the rest of the community. See the full all-time top hunters leaderboard to discover who is shaping the Product Hunt ecosystem.
For a complete overview of Predictly including community comment highlights and product details, visit the product overview.
zevo