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Lumina Markets
Trade your world.
Lumina Markets is a US prediction market platform. It turns the outcomes of real-world events, from elections and economic data to culture and climate, into tradable contracts whose prices reflect market-implied probabilities and that settle when the outcome is known.
About Lumina Markets on Product Hunt
“Trade your world.”
Lumina Markets was submitted on Product Hunt and earned 8 upvotes and 1 comments, placing #35 on the daily leaderboard. Lumina Markets is a US prediction market platform. It turns the outcomes of real-world events, from elections and economic data to culture and climate, into tradable contracts whose prices reflect market-implied probabilities and that settle when the outcome is known.
On the analytics side, Lumina Markets competes within Android, Politics, Fintech and Investing — topics that collectively have 136.3k followers on Product Hunt. The dashboard above tracks how Lumina Markets performed against the three products that launched closest to it on the same day.
Who hunted Lumina Markets?
Lumina Markets was hunted by Morgan Titcher. A “hunter” on Product Hunt is the community member who submits a product to the platform — uploading the images, the link, and tagging the makers behind it. Hunters typically write the first comment explaining why a product is worth attention, and their followers are notified the moment they post. Around 79% of featured launches on Product Hunt are self-hunted by their makers, but a well-known hunter still acts as a signal of quality to the rest of the community. See the full all-time top hunters leaderboard to discover who is shaping the Product Hunt ecosystem.
For a complete overview of Lumina Markets including community comment highlights and product details, visit the product overview.
Hey Product Hunt, Morgan here. I run marketing at Lumina, and @emmalia , @owenchenn , and @tomzorz_ from the team are in the comments all day too.
You can buy a stock if you think a company will do well. But you can't easily take a position on the thing that actually moves it: the Fed's next decision, who wins the Senate, which AI lab is ahead at the end of the year, whether a hurricane makes landfall. That's what Lumina is for.
Every market is a Yes or No question, the price is the market's odds (38¢ on Yes is about a 38% chance), and it moves as the news does. Sell any time before it's decided, or hold until it settles.
What's different about it:
It's a real brokerage account. Lumina is a CFTC-registered introducing broker, your account is carried at Interactive Brokers, and trades execute on ForecastEx, a CFTC-designated contract market. Lumina Markets, Interactive Brokers LLC, and ForecastEx LLC are affiliated. It's also why signup asks for ID.
Open positions earn interest at a variable rate while they wait to settle, whether you picked Yes or No.
Simple fees: a penny per contract to the exchange, plus a 0.35% commission on what you trade. No account or deposit fees.
Every market page shows the price history, the rules, and the source it settles on.
Web, iOS, and Android, for US residents 21 and over.
Which market would you want us to list next?
Trading event contracts involves substantial risk of loss and is not appropriate for all.