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Live Bet Intelligence
A free Poisson model for football match probabilities
Poisson expected-goals engine, match probability analysis and bankroll management
Hey Product Hunt!
I built Live Bet Intelligence because most football prediction content online is gut-feel takes with no real methodology behind them. This tool runs a Poisson expected-goals model — a well-established approach from sports analytics research — blends it with de-vigged bookmaker odds for a confidence-weighted read, and shows you the resulting probabilities. It's a statistics tool, not betting advice, and every decision is entirely up to you (18+, please gamble responsibly).
You can try the core model free, no signup required, via the Free Calculator link. The full version adds automatic team-stat lookups, Kelly-criterion bankroll sizing, live in-play updates, and a results journal to track how the model performs over time.
Built this solo — would love feedback, especially on which leagues or stats you'd want covered next.
About Live Bet Intelligence on Product Hunt
“A free Poisson model for football match probabilities”
Live Bet Intelligence was submitted on Product Hunt and earned 0 upvotes and 1 comments, placing #136 on the daily leaderboard. Poisson expected-goals engine, match probability analysis and bankroll management
On the analytics side, Live Bet Intelligence competes within Analytics, Sports Games and SaaS — topics that collectively have 220.2k followers on Product Hunt. The dashboard above tracks how Live Bet Intelligence performed against the three products that launched closest to it on the same day.
Who hunted Live Bet Intelligence?
Live Bet Intelligence was hunted by Latif Farajov. A “hunter” on Product Hunt is the community member who submits a product to the platform — uploading the images, the link, and tagging the makers behind it. Hunters typically write the first comment explaining why a product is worth attention, and their followers are notified the moment they post. Around 79% of featured launches on Product Hunt are self-hunted by their makers, but a well-known hunter still acts as a signal of quality to the rest of the community. See the full all-time top hunters leaderboard to discover who is shaping the Product Hunt ecosystem.
For a complete overview of Live Bet Intelligence including community comment highlights and product details, visit the product overview.
Latif Farajov