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Deviate

Your personal handheld quant for prediction markets.

Deviate is one of the first app-based, widely accessible mathematical models for prediction markets. It scans live Kalshi & Polymarket events 24/7, compares market situations with historical probabilities based on thousands of data points, and alerts you when there’s an edge between those two. These useful insights and perpetual analysis are provided to prediction market users for less than the price of a burrito per month. Available on the App Store.

Top comment

The concept of Kalshi, Polymarket, and all other prediction markets is quite fascinating. The problem is you have to spend tons of time looking for opportunities, scanning for positive expected value trades to make any money. Most traders don’t. What if you had an algorithmic model on your phone that scanned markets 24/7, updated instantly, and alerted you every time there was a potential opportunity? No more searching for opportunities or figuring out why a trade makes sense; we do both for you. We’re introducing Deviate. An app you can download on the App Store will now be your own quantitative analyst that informs you when historical probabilities of an event, based on thousands of data points, deviate from the market odds. Our model is trained on thousands of games and includes baseball, tennis, motorsport, basketball, football, golf, hockey, cricket, and soccer.

About Deviate on Product Hunt

Your personal handheld quant for prediction markets.

Deviate was submitted on Product Hunt and earned 2 upvotes and 1 comments, placing #160 on the daily leaderboard. Deviate is one of the first app-based, widely accessible mathematical models for prediction markets. It scans live Kalshi & Polymarket events 24/7, compares market situations with historical probabilities based on thousands of data points, and alerts you when there’s an edge between those two. These useful insights and perpetual analysis are provided to prediction market users for less than the price of a burrito per month. Available on the App Store.

On the analytics side, Deviate competes within Fintech, Investing and SaaS — topics that collectively have 117.7k followers on Product Hunt. The dashboard above tracks how Deviate performed against the three products that launched closest to it on the same day.

Who hunted Deviate?

Deviate was hunted by Nilay Mishra. A “hunter” on Product Hunt is the community member who submits a product to the platform — uploading the images, the link, and tagging the makers behind it. Hunters typically write the first comment explaining why a product is worth attention, and their followers are notified the moment they post. Around 79% of featured launches on Product Hunt are self-hunted by their makers, but a well-known hunter still acts as a signal of quality to the rest of the community. See the full all-time top hunters leaderboard to discover who is shaping the Product Hunt ecosystem.

For a complete overview of Deviate including community comment highlights and product details, visit the product overview.