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Calibrated
Who's actually worth listening to?
Calibrated automatically tracks whether economists, investors, and public figures are actually right, scored against real prediction market prices. No cherry-picking, no manual scoring. Every prediction is matched to a live Polymarket or Kalshi prediction market. When the market resolves, the claim gets scored automatically using Brier scoring. An objective leaderboard of who you should actually listen to. The receipts don't lie. calibrated.fyi
Top comment
I built Calibrated because I was tired of pundits making confident predictions with zero accountability. Economists, investors, and politicians say things constantly that turn out to be completely wrong, and nobody keeps score. The idea was simple: match every prediction to a real prediction market (Polymarket or Kalshi), record the market price at the time of the claim, and auto-score it when the market resolves using Brier scoring. No cherry-picking, no manual intervention, no bias. Built the entire pipeline in about 2 weeks using Claude for prediction extraction, pmxt for market data, and Supabase as the backend. The pipeline runs automatically, finds predictions from 70+ tracked public figures, and scores them against crowd consensus. Happy to answer any questions about how the scoring works or what's next for the product!
About Calibrated on Product Hunt
“Who's actually worth listening to?”
Calibrated was submitted on Product Hunt and earned 4 upvotes and 1 comments, placing #142 on the daily leaderboard. Calibrated automatically tracks whether economists, investors, and public figures are actually right, scored against real prediction market prices. No cherry-picking, no manual scoring. Every prediction is matched to a live Polymarket or Kalshi prediction market. When the market resolves, the claim gets scored automatically using Brier scoring. An objective leaderboard of who you should actually listen to. The receipts don't lie. calibrated.fyi
On the analytics side, Calibrated competes within Productivity, Artificial Intelligence and Finance — topics that collectively have 1.1M followers on Product Hunt. The dashboard above tracks how Calibrated performed against the three products that launched closest to it on the same day.
Who hunted Calibrated?
Calibrated was hunted by Dan. A “hunter” on Product Hunt is the community member who submits a product to the platform — uploading the images, the link, and tagging the makers behind it. Hunters typically write the first comment explaining why a product is worth attention, and their followers are notified the moment they post. Around 79% of featured launches on Product Hunt are self-hunted by their makers, but a well-known hunter still acts as a signal of quality to the rest of the community. See the full all-time top hunters leaderboard to discover who is shaping the Product Hunt ecosystem.
For a complete overview of Calibrated including community comment highlights and product details, visit the product overview.